Probability and chance: Mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive events. | |
3rd year of secondary education. (Probability) | |
Probability with dice. | |
1.- If we throw an
eight-sided
die which of the following
events are equally likely?
a) Throwing a 5
Work out the theoretical probability of each of these events. | |
Remember that we work out
this probability as follows:
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In
this window we can simulate throwing the eight-sided die.
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2.- If we throw a twelve-sided
die which of the following
events are equally likely?
a) Throwing a 1
Work out the theoretical probability of each of these events. | |
3.- If we throw a
twenty-sided
die which of the following
events are equally likely?
a) Throwing a 2
Work out the theoretical probability of each of these
events. |
Mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive events. | ||
In this example we are going to refer to a Spanish deck of cards. There are four suits (Oros, Copas, Espadas and Bastos) and each suit contains the following cards in ascending order: Ace, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, Jack (symbolised by a stick man), Queen (symbolised by a horse!!) and King (symbolised by a crown).
If we SELECT A CARD from a
Spanish deck of cards what is the probability of selecting: If
we repeated this experiment (of selecting a card) a thousand times how
many times would you expect each of the events above to be successful? | ||
If the selected card is the
six of espadas, several other
successful events have occurred such as "selecting
an espada", "selecting a six",
"selecting a number lower than 7", etc. On the other
hand, several more events have not been successful, such as "selecting
the six of oros", "selecting the seven of espadas",
"selecting a copa", etc. Therefore,
some events can occur simultaneously and others cannot. | ||
Can any of the events mentioned above happen at the same time?
Look carefully at the following events:
- Selecting
a picture card (jack, queen or king)
If you selected a card a thousand times how often would these two events occur
at the same time?
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Is any card still uncovered
after this? Can both events occur at the same time? Use a similar process to the one above to work out if the following
pairs of events can happen at the same time or not:
- Selecting
the ace of oros and the king of copas | ||
To sum up, we can say that two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur simultaneously and not mutually exclusive if they can happen at the same time. |
Ángela Núñez Castaín | ||
Spanish Ministry of Education. Year 2001 | ||
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